🔥 Trending Donald Trump's State Approval Ratings Ahead of Midterms

Donald Trump's current state approval ratings show a landscape largely divided along partisan lines, reflecting trends seen in previous years but with some notable shifts. As of August 2026, national polls indicate a net disapproval, although state-level data provides a more nuanced picture ⁶⁷.

National Overview

While state-level data offers detail, it's important to first contextualize it with national trends. As of March 2026, President Trump's overall approval rating saw fluctuations. After an uptick following the State of the Union address, his approval ratings dipped as global attention shifted towards the Iran war ⁸. Nationally, he recorded 38 percent approval and 57 percent disapproval, resulting in a net approval rating of -19 ⁶.

State-by-State Approval Ratings

The state-by-state map of Donald Trump's approval ratings largely mirrors familiar partisan divisions, though with some changes in margin. These ratings are based on data from sources like YouGov, which The Economist uses to project state-level approval ².

Strongest Support States

States where Donald Trump consistently enjoys strong approval ratings are typically those with a history of Republican support. These often include:

• Wyoming: Historically one of the most Republican states, Trump's approval here remains high.
• West Virginia: Strong support from working-class voters and a focus on industries like coal contribute to high approval.
• Oklahoma: Another reliably Republican state where his base remains solid.
• North Dakota & South Dakota: These agricultural states tend to lean conservative, showing strong support.
• Alabama, Mississippi, Arkansas, Louisiana: Southern states with a deep conservative base continue to show high approval.

In these states, his approval ratings can often be significantly higher than the national average, sometimes exceeding 50% or even 60% ²⁶.

Weakest Support States

Conversely, states that consistently vote Democratic show the lowest approval ratings for Donald Trump. These include:

• California: As the most populous Democratic state, Trump's approval here is consistently low.
• New York: His home state, but politically a Democratic stronghold, registers very low approval.
• Massachusetts & Vermont: These New England states are among the most liberal in the nation, reflecting low approval.
• Hawaii: Another state with a strong Democratic lean and diverse population, showing low approval.
• Maryland & Washington: Both states show significant disapproval, aligning with their Democratic voting patterns.

In these states, his approval ratings can often be in the 20s or low 30s, contributing significantly to his national net disapproval ²⁶.

Swing States and Shifting Margins

Some states, often referred to as "swing states," show more varied or narrower margins, and these are where shifts in public opinion can be most impactful. As of 2026, reports indicate that while partisan lines hold, margins have noticeably weakened in almost all states compared to previous periods ⁷. This suggests that even in states where he maintains a lead, the intensity or breadth of that support may have diminished.

Key states to watch for these shifts include:

• Pennsylvania, Michigan, Wisconsin: These Rust Belt states were crucial in past elections, and their approval ratings often hover closer to the national average, making them highly contested.
• Arizona, Georgia, Nevada: Southern and Southwestern states that have shown increasing competitiveness, with approval ratings that can fluctuate.
• North Carolina, Florida, Ohio: States with significant populations that can lean either way, where approval ratings are closely watched.

The weakening margins across states, even those with strong partisan leanings, highlight a dynamic political environment as of 2026 ⁷.