🔥 Trending Typhoon Forecast for Hong Kong

As of July 21, 2026, the typhoon forecast for Hong Kong indicates a period of vigilance due to potential tropical cyclone activity in the region, particularly concerning the possible formation of Tropical Storm Noul and the recent impact of Super Typhoon Ragasa.

Current Weather Situation

Hong Kong is currently experiencing mainly cloudy weather with a few showers, though sunny intervals are expected in the morning ¹. An area of intense thundery showers, linked to a broad trough of low pressure, is affecting the coastal areas of western Guangdong and is gradually moving eastward ¹.

Potential Tropical Storm Noul

There is a possibility of a tropical system forming east of the Philippines by mid-week, which could then move into the northern South China Sea this weekend ². The Hong Kong Observatory, along with various AI and international models, suggests that this system could develop into Tropical Storm Noul ². Some forecasts even point to a potential near-Hong Kong landfall, urging coastal areas to remain vigilant despite the current uncertainties ².

Recent Super Typhoon Ragasa

Hong Kong recently experienced the impact of Super Typhoon Ragasa, which was identified as the world's most powerful tropical cyclone in 2025 ³. This super typhoon led to widespread closures and evacuations across Hong Kong and southern China ³.

Long-Term Outlook

While immediate severe weather warnings are not universally active for typhoons as of today, the region is prone to such events [4, 5]. Weather forecasts for Hong Kong typically cover periods up to 16 days, providing detailed predictions including temperature, precipitation chances, and severe weather warnings [6, 7, 8]. Residents and visitors are advised to monitor official weather updates from the Hong Kong Observatory and other authoritative sources for the most current and precise information regarding tropical cyclone developments ⁵.